This is an insidious disease. Where the “cure” is far worse than the disease. This is due to the development of the cure requires sacrificing humans as test subjects. And the “cure” will never come to pass because the development method is not viable.
· The disease stems from trying to create a worthwhile cure to eliminate most roadway crashes, injuries, and deaths as well as (supposedly) lowering traffic volume and by thereby lowering pollution and global warming etc
· The epidemiology of the disease is the flawed development and testing methods being used to develop the cure
I will begin with and then end with the same statement. Tesla’s “Autopilot” and “Full Self-Driving” are grossly negligent engineering debacles that will harm and fatally injure many, many, many more people. And this is all avoidable with the right company leadership and autonomous system development and sensor system designs.
This article will focus on two areas. The first being whether there is a set of circumstances where Tesla ditching the radar is value added. And the other evaluating Elon’s explanation defending it.
When I first saw Elon stating they are removing the radar I assumed it was a lie…
The article — In ‘Race to Autonomy,’ It’s Time to Earn Trust
Incremental epiphany by incremental epiphany, the driverless world is getting to where I have been for over 3 years. After 4 years many, including the press, are “shocked” to learn AV makers use human Guinea pigs. The problem is the industry is still not where it needs to be. Both because of a continued lack of understanding of what the best simulation technology is, and how it can solve the development time, cost and safety issues, and because most people simply go where the wind pushes them…
It was just announced that Argo wants to do an IPO. Recently there has been a mad rush to SPACs especially for LiDAR and driverless vehicle makers. This is not a good sign. Just like all the consolidations, this is a sign these folks know they are in deep trouble and want to avoid bankruptcy as long as possible and cash in before it is discovered that bank is collapsing into an abyss.
What has Argo proven? In their defense they don’t put out hype videos like many others including Cruise/Voyage. (With that consolidation being even more proof of the…
I predicted this two years ago
The industry will crash due to the futility and recklessness of relying on public shadow and safety driving to develop and test autonomous vehicles.
How many signs do you folks need??????
Most of these companies are effectively bankrupt now. And have been from the start.
Every AV maker could be combined, and it wouldn’t save them. The development approach is that wrong
This is completely avoidable
Signs — Updated 4–3–2021
· Drive.AI — bankrupt — bought by Apple
· Apple — recently slowed their effort
· Audi stopped their L3 work
· Ford delayed…
Several key paragraphs here
“Yet the company hasn’t been totally transparent with metro Phoenix residents, refusing to turn over data showing how many times the vehicles’ autonomous function has failed while driving around Chandler, Tempe, and other Valley areas. The latest police reports help to explain why the company has struggled in its deployment of a fully driverless fleet. Although its vehicles can operate in driverless mode, nearly all still have backup drivers behind the wheel when they’re on the road.”
“Waymo has served select passengers with its Waymo One program in Chandler and parts of…
There is a mini documentary making the rounds showing the Pied Piper and others being totally debunked regarding “Autopilot” and “Full Self-Driving”. Tesla and Elon Musk have been frantically trying to delete it.
I have been saying this was not possible, explaining why and how to resolve it for over three years.
Here is the video
And here is the full Oakland video with very helpful Jalopnik play by play
More detail here
The Autonomous Vehicle Industry can be Saved by doing the Opposite of what is being done now to create this technology
It appears the FAA is looking to Chris Anderson from 3DR as a SME for drone testing and certification. A company that had significant drone quality issues and who to this day does not use prop guards. He has been pushing for relaxed standards and self-certification. Seems like this is exactly the opposite of what the FAA should be doing — again.
In addition, Chris is pushing for simulation to be utilized for these activities. While that is a fine idea overall it depends on what simulation is used. While gaming systems can be helpful, they lack the model fidelity…
How are these entities linked? They believe the path to autonomous vehicle development is to rely on public shadow and safety driving augmented by gaming simulation technology. They believe in the myth that public shadow and safety driving can create a legitimate autonomous vehicle. And the lives the process takes are necessary and for the greater good. It is impossible to drive the trillion miles or spend $300B to stumble and restumble on all the scenarios necessary to complete the effort. The process also harms people for no reason. The first safety issue is handover. The time to regain proper…
The article and embedded NTSB letter for reference
First, let me summarize where the NTSB gets things wrong
1. The NTSB thinks the public domain should be the primary environment for safety driving
2. Safety driving is necessary
3. Tesla just needs to make the process safer
4. The right simulation cannot replace most of the real-world
5. There is a solution to the paradox they set up = They think AVs should not go into AV mode unless relevant ODD scenarios are covered. The problem is these are systems in development. …