Aerospace/DoD Systems Engineer — Member SAE Validation and Verification Task Force

Disengagements and miles driven mean almost nothing without scenario and root cause data. They are often misleading. All that matters is scenarios learned, how many are left and what that whole set is. Ever seen that? No one has and there is a reason.

Disengagements and Miles Driven Mean Almost Nothing

Beyond this no one will get remotely close to L4 if they don’t make this switch. Something Waymo recently figured out. (Though their simulation capabilities are a question). The reason it is not possible to create an autonomous vehicle using that process is that it will take one trillion miles at a cost of over $300B. And those using it will cause thousands of accidents, injuries and casualties when they move from benign scenarios to complex, dangerous and accident scenarios.

Much more detail in my articles here

Autonomous Levels 4 and 5 will never be reached without Simulation vs Public Shadow Driving for AI

Autonomous Vehicle Testing — Where is the Due Diligence?

Corner or Edge Cases are not Most Complex or Accident Scenarios

The Dangers of Inferior Simulation for Autonomous Vehicles

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